U.S. position on global poverty and sustainability in seven sentences, two of them fully redacted

September 21, 2012 § Leave a comment

Actions speak louder than words, but words, too, can be quite revealing, especially in draft form. The following appeared in the September 2012 issue of Harper’s Magazine:

BRAZIL NOTS

From changes requested by the United State to “The Future We Want,” a document outlining the “common vision” of countries participating in the Rio+20 conference in June.

Eradicating poverty is the greatest global challenge facing the world today and an indispensable requirement for sustainable development. In this regard we are committed to free humanity from extreme poverty and hunger as a matter of urgency.

We recognize that promoting universal access to social services can make an important contribution to consolidating and archiving development gains.

We strongly encourage initiatives at all levels aimed at providing enhancing social protection for all people.

We appeal to invite all States, relevant international organizations, the private sector, and all major groups to enhance their effortsto achive sustainable changes in consumption and production patterns while creating new economic opportunities and decent work, and securing good enhancing living standards and protection of vulnerable groups.

We reaffirm the urgent need to deepen the reform of the global financial system and architecture based on the principles of equity, sovereign equality, independence, common interest, cooperation and solidarity among all States.

We urge developed countries to undertake significant changes in the lifestyles of their people to move towards a more sustainable future for all.

If the American Community Survey is eliminated, fraudsters will try to fill the void

June 15, 2012 § Leave a comment

When the U.S. House of Representatives voted last month to eliminate the American Community Survey (an ongoing statistical survey of American households, administered annually by the Census Bureau), news organizations, academic researchers, and business associations (including the U.S. Chamber of Commerce) were united in their dismay. If government agencies, businesses, and nonprofits are rendered blind by the defunding of research programs that provide them with information about the socioeconomic makeup of communities across the country, how are they supposed to decide where to build new schools and roads, where to open new stores and hospitals, etc.? One does not have to be an expert on statistics to predict that even the “compromise” solution proposed by Senator Rand Paul – to make participation in the survey voluntary rather than mandatory – would inevitably result in a marked decrease in the quality of data collected by the Census Bureau. (I do suspect that this may come as a surprise to Representative Daniel Webster [R-FL], who revealed a troubling lack of knowledge of the basics of research methods when he suggested that defunding the survey would not be a big deal, because “in the end this is not a scientific survey. It’s a random survey.”)

Even more disconcerting is the prospect of fake data manufactured by unscrupulous political operatives filling the void left by the dismantling of legitimate data collection programs. And this prospect is neither far-fetched nor purely theoretical. Consider PolitiFact’s investigation of the widely reported finding that 85% of recent U.S. college graduates end up living with their parents after graduation. In countries where it is fairly common for unmarried adult children to live with their parents – Japan is one example of such a place – this statistic would hardly cause a stir, but in the U.S., it is nothing short of scandalous. So, it comes as no surprise that the figure has been prominently featured not only in an anti-Obama ad produced by Karl Rove’s PAC American Crossroads, but also in TIME MagazineNew York PostCNN MoneyU.S. New and World Reportand other news sources. Well, it turns out the statistic is fake.

American Crossroads ad

Twentysomething Inc.’s fraudulent statistic has been cited in various news media and in this anti-Obama ad

PolitiFact’s inquiry (covered by NPR’s On the Media on May 11, 2012) strongly suggests that Twentysomething Inc., the now defunct “prestigious, world-renowned management consultancy” that was the apparent source of the made-up statistic, was itself an elaborate sham – complete with nonexistent employees and stock photos downloaded from the internet and passed off on the company’s web site as pictures of its staff. The only outstanding question is who paid for this fraud. (When Louis Jacobson of PolitiFact finally spoke with David Morrison, the founder and former president of Twentysomething Inc., Mr. Morrison stated that a nondisclosure agreement barred him from commenting on the “poll” that had supposedly produced the 85% figure or from revealing the identity of the client who had commissioned the study.) We can be sure about one thing: it is highly unlikely that this example of fraudsters-for-hire deliberately feeding disinformation to the media and the public is unique.

In 2008, I attended a public debate between two academics – one representing the liberal camp and the other speaking for the conservatives – at a large private university in the Northeast. The topic of the debate was whether the media should play the role of fact-checkers in presidential elections. The conservative scholar argued in all seriousness that fact-checking was not a proper task for the media because [a] journalists lacked the skills/training/expertise to make judgements about the veracity of candidates’ statements and [b] most of what candidates said on the campaign trail was not factual anyway. Judging by the failure of multiple news organizations to verify Twentysomething’s “data” before publishing them, many reporters and news editors have decided to take it to the next level and abandon fact-checking altogether. Supporting quality journalism and taking media companies to task when they fail to verify factual claims before reporting them is one way to counteract the not-so-subtle and, to date, largely successful push to create an environment that allows politicians to lie without fear of any real push-back from the media. More important, we have to ensure that decision-makers at all levels have access to comprehensive and accurate socioeconomic data.

Academic institutions and independent research organizations have an important role to play here. (One of the clues that the 85% estimate of the number of recent college grads living with their parents is fraudulent can be found in a recent report by the Pew Research Center, which puts the real numbers for all young adults at 12% for 25- to 34-year-olds and 40% for those ages 18 to 24 as of December 2011. Interestingly, the Pew report notes that the vast majority of 18- to 24-year-olds currently living with their parents or grandparents say “they did not move back home because of economic conditions [in fact many of them may have never moved out in the first place].” These figures may still be too high for comfort, but they are a far cry from the 85% figure concocted by David Morrison.) However, much of the analysis performed by nongovernmental research organizations relies on raw data gathered by the American Community Survey, the Economic Survey (which measures the health of the U.S. economy and which the House Appropriates Bill eliminates as well), and other government-sponsored projects. In the end, only the Census Bureau has the capacity and the mandate to survey 3 million American households each year and 5 million businesses every 5 years to produce massive datasets used by researchers, government agencies, nonprofits, and businesses across the country. Eliminating the American Community Survey project would undoubtedly please the paranoid fringe and their champions at the Cato Institute who claim that questions about monthly utility costs, level of education, commuting time, and the availability of flush toilets constitute an unconstitutional invasion of privacy and bring the country one step closer to a totalitarian dystopia. (It is hard to imagine why anyone outside Congress would seriously advocate for the elimination of the Economic Census.) The rest of us have every reason to tell Congress to leave these research programs alone and let the Census Bureau do its job.

Leveling the playing field is not just about fairness: It’s good for business

February 5, 2012 § Leave a comment

Capitalism may be going through a full-blown existential crisis, but in the U.S., “socialism” remains a dirty word, and few politicians, policy makers, or mainstream economists seem ready to question capitalism’s fundamental assumptions. Those who are brave enough to advocate for policies that can be described as socialist usually do so on the grounds of fairness and justice for the working masses. Bill Maher’s analysis of the NFL’s business model offers a new line of argument: leveling the playing field is not only morally right – it is also good for business.

Bill Maher – Irritable Bowl Syndrome by Fraser Davidson

Disney’s new musical celebrates stuggle for justice and fair pay

January 24, 2012 § Leave a comment

If Occupy Wall Street decided to stage a musical, they could not do better than Newsies. In the event, the new play, which will begin its Poster Ad for Newsies101-performance run on Broadway less than six months after the Occupy movement was born in Manhattan’s Financial District, was produced by Disney, a corporate conglomerate that has had more than its fair share of labor controversies. But don’t let this little bit of irony get in the way of your enjoyment of the show and its unapologetically pro-labor message. From Ticketmaster:

Hailed by Entertainment Weekly as an “extra-extra special production,” and heralded by Newsweek as “the talk of the town,” Newsies makes its Broadway debut at the Nederlander Theatre riding a wave of rave reviews and standing ovations. 

Based upon the real-life “Newsboy Strike of 1899,” this high-energy, crowd-pleasing new musical from Disney tells the story of a band of teenaged newspaper boys who become unlikely heroes when they courageously take on the biggest names in publishing. Their battle for justice and fair pay rocks the city of New York and sparks a movement for social change that sweeps across a nation. Filled with heart-pounding dance, heart-stirring songs, with an incredible breakout cast, Newsies is the new, New York musical that delivers a powerful and inspiring tale about standing up today to create a better tomorrow.

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